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Anthropic IPO before 2027?

88%chance of yes
YES 88%NO 13%
Status
Open
Resolves by
January 1, 2027
Since first tracked
+13 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

At 88%, the crowd considers an Anthropic IPO before 2027 substantially more likely than not — though the number has come off its highs. It read 95% a week ago and 82% a month ago, ranging between 74% and 96% since tracking opened at 75%.

That shape is worth noting: a steady climb through the month, a peak, then a modest pullback. On questions about corporate events, a retreat from a very high number often reflects the calendar rather than a change of view. There is a difference between "this will happen" and "this will happen by 31 December 2026", and as a deadline nears, the second becomes harder to hold even when the first stays intact.

Note what the question requires. An IPO is a completed public listing, not an announcement, a filing, or an intention. Questions in this category frequently trade above where they should because people price the news rather than the event.

Runs to the end of the year.

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