Anthropic IPO before 2027?
- Status
- Open
- Resolves by
- January 1, 2027
- Since first tracked
- +13 pts
How the forecast has moved
What this question means
At 88%, the crowd considers an Anthropic IPO before 2027 substantially more likely than not — though the number has come off its highs. It read 95% a week ago and 82% a month ago, ranging between 74% and 96% since tracking opened at 75%.
That shape is worth noting: a steady climb through the month, a peak, then a modest pullback. On questions about corporate events, a retreat from a very high number often reflects the calendar rather than a change of view. There is a difference between "this will happen" and "this will happen by 31 December 2026", and as a deadline nears, the second becomes harder to hold even when the first stays intact.
Note what the question requires. An IPO is a completed public listing, not an announcement, a filing, or an intention. Questions in this category frequently trade above where they should because people price the news rather than the event.
Runs to the end of the year.
What is your call?
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