Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

What this question means

The gap between this question and its sibling is the largest deadline spread on the board. Releasing a foldable iPhone *before 2027* is priced at 97%. Releasing one *by 30 September* sits at 15%.

Same event, same product, eighty-two points apart — entirely because of three months.

That is what a hard timing constraint looks like. The crowd is close to certain the thing happens and close to certain it does not happen soon. Neither number is a judgement about whether Apple can build the device; together they are a judgement about when it ships.

This one has climbed steadily too — 90% a month ago, 94% a week ago, 97% now, from an opening of 89%. A forecast approaching certainty from below usually reflects accumulating confirmation rather than a single revelation.

Read either number alone and you would draw the wrong conclusion. Read both and the picture is unambiguous.