Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

What this question means

A week ago the crowd put this at 76%. It now sits at 15%, having covered a 7% to 87% range in nine days of tracking.

That collapse did not happen alone. The companion question on this board — whether the foldable iPhone's first announced price is at least $2,000 — fell from 72% to 24% over almost exactly the same period. Two linked questions, both repricing by roughly sixty points, in the same direction, at the same time.

When a cluster moves together like that, the cause is almost always structural rather than incremental. A pricing question only matters if an announcement happens; once the release question collapsed, the price question had to follow.

The lesson is to read linked questions as a group. Either number alone looks like a dramatic reversal. Together they describe one revision — the expectation of an imminent announcement disappearing — expressed across two markets.