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#2 US Spotify Song 2026

  1. Earrings – Malcom Todd56%
  2. Man I Need – Olivia Dean40%
  3. Choosin Texas – Ella Langley0%
  4. Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars0%
  5. Risk It All – Bruno Mars0%
  6. APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars0%
  7. Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo0%
  8. Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0%
  9. Swim – BTS0%
  10. Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0%
  11. Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0%
  12. hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande0%
  13. Field (rest)0%
Status
Open
Resolves by
December 31, 2026
Contenders
13

What this question means

An unusual thing to forecast: not the top song of the year, but the second.

"Earrings" by Malcom Todd sits at 56%, "Man I Need" by Olivia Dean at 40%, and everything else at zero — including the track that leads the #1 question on this board, which correctly appears here at 0%.

That last detail is the interesting one. The two questions are linked: a song cannot be both first and second, so confidence about the top spot mechanically removes a candidate from this one. The 94% favourite over there is a 0% here, and the two markets are consistent rather than contradictory.

Ranking questions below first place are harder than they look, because they depend on two quantities at once — how a track performs, and how everything above it performs. A song can have a superb year and finish third because two others had better ones.

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