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Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026?

6%chance of yes
YES 6%NO 95%
Status
Open
Resolves by
September 11, 2026
Since first tracked
-44 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

Six percent, having fallen from 50% at the open to as low as 4% within six days.

Weekly price-threshold questions have a distinctive shape, and this is a textbook case. The window is too short for any trend to develop, so the forecast simply tracks how far the price currently sits from the threshold — and once the week is mostly gone with the level unreached, the number collapses toward zero.

Compare with the Apple question on this board, which opened at 62% and has risen to 74% over a similar window. Same structure, same kind of history, opposite direction. Neither is expressing a view about the company; both are measuring proximity.

That is the thing to hold onto with short-window price questions. They are not forecasts about a business. They are a running readout of distance to a line, with a clock attached.

What is your call?

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