Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
- Status
- Open
- Time left
- 3mo
- Since first tracked
- +20 pts
How the forecast has moved
What this question means
Forty-six percent, and climbing steadily. A month ago this sat at 25%; a week ago 45%; the recorded range runs 21% to 51% from a start of 26%.
This is the lowest rung of a three-step ladder on the board. The same question at $3.0T sits at 30%, and at $4.0T at 14%. Read together — 46%, 30%, 14% — they form a properly ordered series, each higher bar carrying lower odds, which is what a coherent set of thresholds should look like.
That ordering is more informative than any single number. It sketches the crowd's whole distribution: a valuation in this region seen as close to a coin flip, with meaningful but declining probability attached to each step above.
All three have risen together over the past month, and that is the real signal. A whole ladder shifting upward at once indicates a genuine change in expectations rather than noise on one threshold.
What is your call?
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