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Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

66%chance of yes
YES 66%NO 35%
Status
Open
Resolves by
September 14, 2026
Since first tracked
+17 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

Up seventeen points in three days, from 49% at the open to 66% now.

This asks whether a film scores at least 54 on the Tomatometer — the percentage of reviews counted as positive. That makes it a question about critical consensus, which behaves unlike most things on this board.

Review scores converge. Early reviews arrive from a small sample and the figure moves considerably; as more land, it stabilises and becomes progressively harder to shift. So a forecast on a threshold like this typically starts uncertain and firms up quickly, which is exactly the movement from 49% to 66% here.

Note also that 54 is close to the line between a "fresh" and "rotten" designation. Thresholds placed near a meaningful boundary make for sharper questions than arbitrary ones, because the outcome carries consequences beyond the number itself — which tends to attract more attention and better pricing.

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