Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
- Status
- Open
- Time left
- 3mo
- Since first tracked
- +9 pts
How the forecast has moved
What this question means
Up from 59% a month ago to 79% now, though off a peak of 85% and down from 83% a week ago.
The other valuation question on this board asks about a $975B threshold by 30 September and sits at 44%. This asks about $1.0T by 31 December. Higher bar, longer deadline — and nearly double the probability.
That combination isolates the timing effect cleanly. A slightly higher threshold should reduce the odds; three extra months more than compensate. So the crowd's view is that the level is likely reachable, and that September is simply too soon.
The recent softening from 85% is worth watching. On questions that have climbed steadily for a month, the first sustained pullback is either consolidation or a turn, and nothing in the history distinguishes them in advance.
What is your call?
PolyGround is a free, play-money prediction game. Back your forecast with virtual coins, watch the odds move, and climb the leaderboard on how right you were. No real money, no crypto, nothing to lose.
Get it free on Google PlayMore Business questions
- Business3mo left
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
YES 88%NO 13% - Business3mo left
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
YES 7%NO 93% - Business3mo left
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
YES 8%NO 93% - Business3mo left
Deel IPO before 2027?
YES 5%NO 96% - Business3mo left
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- Business3mo left
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?