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Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?

44%chance of yes
YES 44%NO 56%
Status
Open
Time left
24d
Since first tracked
-6 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

Forty-four percent, down sharply from 68% a week ago, with a recorded range of 26% to 68% in just ten days of tracking.

Valuation questions with a near deadline behave differently from open-ended ones. This asks whether a specific figure is reached by 30 September — so as the date approaches, the question becomes less about whether the valuation is achievable and more about whether the confirming event lands inside the window.

That is why the number can swing so violently on a short history. A report, a funding round, or the absence of one materially changes the odds when there are only weeks left.

Compare with the Anthropic valuation ladder on this board, which runs to the end of December and has climbed steadily rather than lurching. Same category of question, far longer runway, and a much smoother line. Deadline proximity is doing most of the work in the difference.

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