Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19919%
- 200-21918%
- 160-17914%
- 220-23914%
- 240-25910%
- 140-1598%
- 260-2796%
- 280-2994%
- 120-1393%
- 300-3193%
- 320-3392%
- 100-1191%
- Field (rest)2%
- Status
- Open
- Resolves by
- September 18, 2026
- Contenders
- 26
What this question means
Entirely in the future, and it shows. The leading bucket — 180-199 — takes just 19%, with 200-219 at 18%, 160-179 and 220-239 at 14%, and meaningful weight stretching from 140 up past 280.
This is the flattest of the eight-day tweet-count questions on this board, and the reason is simply that none of the window has happened yet. Its counterparts covering 1-8 and 4-11 September peak at 35% and 64% respectively, because both are largely elapsed.
A distribution this broad is the honest baseline: what the crowd believes before any of the actual data arrives. Everything above it is the value of partial information.
Watching a question like this tighten as its window opens is one of the more instructive things available here — it makes visible the thing forecasting usually hides, which is how much confidence comes from evidence rather than judgement.
What is your call?
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