Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?

What this question means

More than doubled in a week — the demanding half of a crude oil pair, up — from 33% to 72%, across a range running 11% to 68%.

The $95 version of this question sits at 92%. The twenty-point gap between them is the crowd's estimate of how much room there is above the lower bar: substantial, but not assumed.

What makes this pair unusually informative is that both moved dramatically in the same direction over the same days. That rules out the most common explanation for a single threshold jumping, which is repricing where a line sits relative to an unchanged expectation. Here the expectation itself moved.

Round numbers like $100 also attract attention beyond their economic meaning, which can make thresholds at such levels slightly better priced than arbitrary ones — more participants look at them, and more looking usually means sharper numbers.