Skip to content
PolyGround

Elon Musk # tweets September 5 - September 7, 2026?

  1. 40-6459%
  2. <4029%
  3. 65-8912%
  4. 90-1145%
  5. 115-1390%
  6. 140-1640%
  7. 165-1890%
  8. 190-2140%
  9. 215-2390%
  10. 240+0%
Status
Open
Time left
17h
Contenders
10

What this question means

A three-day window rather than the eight-day ones elsewhere on this board, and the bucket structure changes to match: 40-64 at 59%, under 40 at 29%, 65-89 at 12%.

Shorter windows produce lower counts and therefore different brackets, but the more interesting effect is on shape. A three-day total is proportionally noisier than an eight-day one — a single unusually active or quiet day moves it much further — so you might expect a flatter distribution.

It is not flatter, because this window is nearly complete. With hours left, most of the count is known.

Note the 29% on the lowest bucket. An open-ended bracket at the bottom collects everything below a line, which is why it carries more weight than the single-range buckets above it. Comparing open and closed brackets directly will mislead you.

What is your call?

PolyGround is a free, play-money prediction game. Back your forecast with virtual coins, watch the odds move, and climb the leaderboard on how right you were. No real money, no crypto, nothing to lose.

Get it free on Google Play

More Other questions