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Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?

  1. 40-6451%
  2. 65-8935%
  3. <405%
  4. 90-1145%
  5. 115-1390%
  6. 140-1640%
  7. 165-1890%
  8. 190-2140%
  9. 215-2390%
  10. 240+0%
Status
Open
Resolves by
September 9, 2026
Contenders
10

What this question means

Overlapping the previous three-day window by a day, and priced slightly less confidently: 40-64 at 51% against 59% for its neighbour, with 65-89 at 35%.

The comparison is what makes these worth reading as a set. Two windows of identical length, one day apart, and the later one carries more weight in the higher bucket — a small but readable expectation of increased activity.

Differences that subtle are only visible because the questions overlap. A single distribution tells you a range; a series of staggered windows tells you how the crowd expects the rate to change across them.

The seven tweet-count questions here vary in window length from three days to a full month. Reading across them shows two effects at once: shorter windows are noisier, and windows nearer completion are tighter.

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