Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-6451%
- 65-8935%
- <405%
- 90-1145%
- 115-1390%
- 140-1640%
- 165-1890%
- 190-2140%
- 215-2390%
- 240+0%
- Status
- Open
- Resolves by
- September 9, 2026
- Contenders
- 10
What this question means
Overlapping the previous three-day window by a day, and priced slightly less confidently: 40-64 at 51% against 59% for its neighbour, with 65-89 at 35%.
The comparison is what makes these worth reading as a set. Two windows of identical length, one day apart, and the later one carries more weight in the higher bucket — a small but readable expectation of increased activity.
Differences that subtle are only visible because the questions overlap. A single distribution tells you a range; a series of staggered windows tells you how the crowd expects the rate to change across them.
The seven tweet-count questions here vary in window length from three days to a full month. Reading across them shows two effects at once: shorter windows are noisier, and windows nearer completion are tighter.
What is your call?
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