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PolyGround

Crypto

LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?

74%chance of yes
YES 74%NO 27%
Status
Open
Resolves by
December 31, 2026
Since first tracked
+21 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

The entry-level threshold in a series. This asks whether LAPTOP's fully diluted valuation clears $100 million one day after launch — the lowest bar on the board, with $250M, $350M, $500M and $1B variants sitting alongside it.

At 74%, the crowd expects it cleared, though with less certainty than a bar this low might suggest. The three days of recorded history run from 53% to 78%, starting at 53% — a steady climb rather than a swing.

Fully diluted valuation measures the entire token supply at current prices, including tokens not yet in circulation. It is a crude number, and deliberately so: it gives a single comparable figure for a launch before there is any trading history to judge by.

The value in a threshold series is that no single question tells you much, but the set describes a distribution. Read them together and you learn what range the crowd expects, not just whether it clears one line.

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