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Crypto

LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?

96%chance of yes
YES 96%NO 5%
Status
Open
Resolves by
December 31, 2026
Since first tracked
+46 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

The floor of the set. Four questions on this board ask about LAPTOP's fully diluted valuation one day after launch, at $250M, $350M, $500M and $1B — and this is the easiest of them.

At 96%, the crowd treats it as close to a formality. That is the point of having a low threshold in a series: it establishes the baseline everyone agrees on, which makes the disagreement at the higher thresholds legible. Read the four together and you get a rough distribution rather than four separate opinions.

The history is short but violent. Across three days the forecast ran from 45% to 96%, starting at 50%. In other words, the crowd began genuinely unsure whether even this bar would be cleared and became almost certain within seventy-two hours.

Fully diluted valuation counts the entire token supply at current prices, including tokens not yet released — a blunt measure, but the standard one for sizing a launch, which is why these questions use it.

What is your call?

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