LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- Status
- Open
- Resolves by
- December 31, 2026
- Since first tracked
- +37 pts
How the forecast has moved
What this question means
Ninety-one percent, having climbed from 54% at the open through a 54% to 92% range in four days.
Ten questions on this board ask whether LAPTOP's fully diluted valuation clears a given level one day after launch, from $10 million to $2 billion. Read as a set they run from near-certainty at the bottom to near-zero at the top.
One thing worth noticing: the series is not perfectly ordered. A couple of the middle thresholds sit above or below where a strict ladder would place them. That is normal and not a fault — each question is priced by a partly different group, at partly different moments, and a market that has not yet been arbitraged into consistency will show small inversions.
It is a useful habit to check. When a threshold series is out of order, the mispricing is usually in whichever question has attracted the least attention.
What is your call?
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