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Crypto

What chain will LAPTOP launch on?

  1. Base97%
  2. No launch3%
  3. Ethereum1%
  4. Other1%
  5. Solana0%
Status
Open
Resolves by
January 1, 2027
Contenders
5

What this question means

Ninety-seven percent on Base, with "No launch" at 3% and Ethereum, Solana and Other at 1% or below.

This is a categorical question rather than a numeric one — not how large, not when, but *where*. Those tend to price sharply, because the answer is usually a decision that has already been made and communicated rather than an outcome still being determined by events.

It is worth reading alongside the five LAPTOP valuation questions on this board, which ask how large the launch lands and range from 96% down to 24% across their thresholds. Those are genuinely uncertain. This one is close to settled.

The contrast is instructive: within a single subject, some questions are about facts already fixed and others about outcomes still forming. The 3% on "no launch" is the only real uncertainty here, and it is the same small allowance that appears wherever a planned event might simply not happen.

What is your call?

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