Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?

What this question means

A niche question with an unusually steady number. At 26%, the crowd puts roughly one chance in four on Knots overtaking Bitcoin Core before 2027, and the forecast has hardly moved — 30% a month ago, 30% a week ago, a recorded range of 26% to 30%.

This is a question about infrastructure rather than price: which implementation of Bitcoin's node software the network actually runs. That makes it an unusual thing to forecast, because adoption of this kind shifts slowly and visibly rather than in surprises. There is no announcement moment — just a share that moves, or does not.

Flat forecasts on slow-moving questions are exactly what you would expect. The number will likely stay put until adoption data shifts enough to force a revision, and then move in a step.

The threshold word is "flip" — an overtaking, not merely growth. A minority implementation can gain ground substantially and still resolve this No.