Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

What this question means

Slipping back: 35% a month ago, 40% a week ago, 34% now, after a range running from 28% to 62%.

Price-threshold questions with a three-week deadline occupy an awkward middle ground. They are long enough that a genuine move could carry the price to the level, and short enough that the clock matters — so the number reflects both a view about direction and a running calculation about time.

The wide historical range is characteristic. A high of 62% against a current 34% means the crowd has substantially revised its view at least once, which on a question this short-dated usually reflects the underlying price moving rather than any change in reasoning.

With 24 days remaining, expect the calendar to start dominating. Absent a decisive move, dated threshold questions decay toward zero simply because the window closes.