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PolyGround

Crypto

Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?

55%chance of yes
YES 55%NO 45%
Status
Open
Resolves by
January 1, 2027
Since first tracked
+45 pts

How the forecast has moved

What this question means

Few forecasts on this board have moved like this one. A month ago the crowd gave UNI a 11% chance of reaching $11.00 before the end of 2026. It now sits at 55% — from clear underdog to slightly better than a coin flip, with a recorded range running from 9% all the way to 57%.

A five-fold repricing in a month is not a gradual reassessment of the odds. It is the crowd concluding that something material has changed about what is reachable.

Threshold questions on prices are worth studying precisely because they expose this. The target does not move — $11.00 is $11.00 — so every bit of movement in the number reflects a changed view of how likely that target is to be met. Unlike a question about an event, where the definition can drift, here the goalposts are nailed down and only the estimate moves.

Just under four months left to run.

What is your call?

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