Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?

What this question means

Look at where this started: 48% when tracking opened eleven days ago, against 9% now.

That collapse sits oddly beside the rest of the crude oil ladder on this board, where the $95 and $100 thresholds have surged over the same period. Four questions, same commodity, same month — and the two lower bars rose sharply while the two upper ones fell.

The explanation is that the whole distribution tightened rather than shifted. Early on, with little information, the crowd spread probability widely and gave even extreme levels real weight. As the picture clarified, it concentrated: the plausible range firmed up around the lower thresholds and the tails were cut away.

That is a different event from a directional move, and the pattern is recognisable — lower rungs rising while upper rungs fall means confidence increasing, not expectations falling.