Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%66%
- 0.3%26%
- 0.1%6%
- 0.4%3%
- ≤0.0%1%
- 0.6%+1%
- 0.5%0%
- Status
- Open
- Resolves by
- September 11, 2026
- Contenders
- 7
What this question means
Core CPI for August is priced at 0.2% with 66%, 0.3% with 26%, and 0.1% with 6% — three values carrying almost everything.
Core inflation strips out food and energy, the two most volatile components, which makes it a steadier series than the headline figure. That steadiness shows directly in the pricing: this distribution is tighter than the headline monthly question on this board, which spreads more weight across its range.
Three questions here resolve from the same data release — headline monthly, headline annual, and this. They are mechanically linked, so a coherent view has to satisfy all three at once. Anyone forecasting a hot core print should also be pricing the headline figures accordingly.
The concentration reflects how much is knowable in advance. Component indices, related surveys and published analyst estimates narrow the range considerably before release, leaving a genuine but small band of uncertainty.
What is your call?
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