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Highest temperature in Ankara on September 7?

  1. 25°C57%
  2. 26°C20%
  3. 24°C19%
  4. 27°C4%
  5. 21°C or below0%
  6. 22°C0%
  7. 23°C0%
  8. 28°C0%
  9. 29°C0%
  10. 30°C0%
  11. 31°C or higher0%
Status
Open
Time left
17h
Contenders
11

What this question means

A refreshing change of pace: a question that resolves within a day, on something genuinely measurable.

The crowd's distribution for Ankara's high on 7 September centres on 25°C at 57%, with 26°C at 20% and 24°C at 19% on either side. Everything beyond that — 27°C at 4%, and the full range from 21°C or below up to 28°C — rounds to almost nothing.

That is a textbook probability distribution: a clear peak with symmetric shoulders and thin tails, which is exactly what you would expect from a short-range weather forecast. Meteorology is one of the few domains where forecasts are both rigorously calibrated and continuously scored, so questions like this tend to be tightly priced.

Worth noting what makes it clean. There is a specific city, a specific date, a specific measurement, and an unambiguous source. Most questions on this board argue about definitions. This one just waits for a thermometer.

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