Highest temperature in Dallas on September 11?

What this question means

Note the structure before the numbers. Unlike the other weather questions here, Dallas on 11 September is priced in Fahrenheit and in two-degree buckets rather than single degrees.

The peak is 96-97°F at 33%, then 98-99°F at 23%, 94-95°F at 18%, 92-93°F at 11%, 100-101°F at 7%, 102-103°F at 5%, and thin tails below 91°F.

Bucket width changes how a distribution looks, and it is worth adjusting for. A range covering two degrees naturally collects more probability than a single value, so a 33% peak here is not directly comparable to a 68% peak on a question priced one degree at a time. Read the shape, not the headline number.

What the shape says is that this is a moderately uncertain forecast with a mild lean toward the hot side — the tail above the peak is fatter than the one below it. Late-summer Texas heat has more room to run upward than downward.