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Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?

  1. 26°C48%
  2. 25°C24%
  3. 27°C23%
  4. 28°C6%
  5. 24°C4%
  6. 23°C2%
  7. 29°C2%
  8. 22°C1%
  9. 20°C or below0%
  10. 21°C0%
  11. 30°C or higher0%
Status
Open
Resolves by
September 9, 2026
Contenders
11

What this question means

Seoul on 9 September, measured at Incheon: 26°C at 48%, with 27°C at 23% and 25°C at 24% almost exactly balanced either side.

The station detail in the title is worth noticing. "Seoul (Incheon)" specifies where the reading is taken, and that matters more than it might seem — Incheon sits on the coast while central Seoul is inland, and the two can differ by a couple of degrees on the same day. A question that named only the city would be ambiguous at exactly the resolution these brackets require.

The symmetry of the distribution is the other feature. Near-equal weight one degree above and below the peak indicates a forecast with no directional lean — the crowd sees the error as equally likely to fall either way.

That is the cleanest shape a forecast can take: a clear central estimate, balanced uncertainty, and a resolution source precise enough to settle it.

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