Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?

What this question means

The most concentrated weather distribution on this board, and effectively a two-way choice. Tel Aviv on 7 September is priced at 32°C with 57% and 33°C with 44% — with 31°C at just 1% and every other value at zero.

Two adjacent degrees taking essentially the entire distribution is unusual even among short-range forecasts. It means the crowd is confident about the temperature to within one degree and genuinely unable to resolve further.

That is a different kind of uncertainty from a wide distribution. A spread across five degrees means the underlying forecast is unclear. A spike across two means the forecast is excellent and the question has simply been sliced finely enough to make it a boundary problem — a difference of a fraction of a degree at measurement time decides it.

Mediterranean coastal climates in early September are among the most stable conditions anywhere, which is why this one prices as sharply as it does.