US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

What this question means

Resolved NO. No announcement came before the 7 September deadline.

The record shows a forecast that never really believed it would. Tracking opened at 16%, touched 19% at its high, and spent the final week at 1%. The crowd was sceptical from the start and grew more so.

This was the shortest-dated of several questions on the board asking the same thing at different deadlines — 14 September, 30 September — and the pattern across them was consistent: the nearer the date, the lower the number. That is the ordinary arithmetic of dated questions rather than any judgement about the underlying situation.

Worth noting the bar it never cleared. The question required an announcement, a specific public act with a date attached. Conditions changing quietly would not have been enough.